Friday, October 18, 2013

Colleg Football Midseason Recap


So we are somehow halfway through the college football season. I have collected 585 dollars from stats inc for sitting on my ass imputing statistics from the various games I watch on Saturdays. Notre Dame has lost twice as many games as they lost last year. Alabama is still insufferable. Les Miles is still awesome. Jameis Winston might pull a Manziel and win the Heisman.  Everything is still a crap shoot. What follows is an attempt to pick out who's going to win the 1600 after we're 800 meters into the race (goofy running analogy brought to you by my woeful distance running career in high school).

 
ACC: Obviously the Atlantic race is more than likely going to be settled on Saturday night in Clemson. Do you go with the senior QB at home, or the freshman nicknamed “Jameis Christ?” Honestly, these teams seem to be very equal on paper. FSU is averaging 54 a game while allowing 12, and Clemson is scoring 41 and giving up 16 against a harder schedule. Clemson gets more turnovers and sacks, but FSU gives up less points. Both teams have multiple receivers at their disposal. In the Coastal, an undefeated Miami team gets Virginia Tech at home on November 9th. I just don't think Tech's sometimes erratic offense will travel well down South, so despite their stellar defense, Miami will win. This sets up a showdown between Miami and …....Clemson in the ACC championship. Clemson will win and get to a BCS game, but will not go to the national championship game because they will lose to South Carolina. Meanwhile, Miami will lose to FSU and each team in the ACC will have at least one loss.

 

AAC: Louisville might have lost out on their slim title game hopes by struggling against the likes of Rutgers and Kentucky. With a schedule this week, they literally have to win 70-0 every week to convince people they are good enough in this sick and twisted world where there is no playoff for them to try and prove themselves against the big boys (March Madness>football). Regardless, they aren't losing any time soon and will have to wait for a BCS game to play someone that isn't derptastic.

 

Big 10: Mediocrity is entertaining, right? Ohio State is ahead in the leaders division, with nothing outside of a game in Ann Arbor standing in their way from winning their side. Even with one loss, I'm assuming they'll get the tiebreaker over Wisconsin since they beat them. I'm too lazy to look up the tie breaking rules so we'll just go with that. Indiana and Penn St might be frisky, but they won't win. On the other side, it's looking like someone out of the triumvirate of “teams ranked between 25 and 30 in the country” to challenge the Buckeyes in the title tilt. Nebraska gets Michigan State at home, Michigan State gets Michigan at home, Michigan gets Nebraska at home, so basically you can go with a coin flip or some form of paper, rock, scissoring to find this answer. If I had to guess, I'd go with Nebraska. It looks like a defense with 8 JC's/freshman contributing might be starting to jell.

 

Big 12: Baylor all day son. Sorry that was the first thing that popped into my head. The standings say Texas Tech and Texas are also undefeated. I kind of like Texas Tech, but they do all the same things as Baylor, but just don't do them quite as well. Texas went from being a national joke, to being good all of a sudden because they won one game? Against a team missing the heart and soul of their defense that had been playing out of their heads? Baylor gets everyone from the top five in the league at home except for Oklahoma St, so I think they win the conference. They might lose a game in there, but everyone else will lose two. Texas will lose more than two.

 

PAC 12: I really liked Stanford coming into the year. I just thought that their defense was too stout, and that losing Chip Kelly would hurt Oregon. Methinks I underestimated Niketown however; as Oregon looks as good as they ever have. Oregon St. still has a 0 in the loss column, but Stanford will beat them. Oregon is heading towards being 13-0 and heading to Pasadena to play whichever 1 loss SEC team they get matched up against. In the South, UCLA will emerge. Everyone else is bad, and I can't take ASU seriously after they got handled by a team quarterbacked by Tommy Rees.

 

SEC: Like everyone else, I'm kind of sick of all the countless SEC hype and slobbering. At the same time, it is the best league and home to the best games by far. When someone who doesn't watch college football wants a guide on how to get into it because “there are too many teams to keep track of,” I point them in the direction of the SEC. Eight teams in the top 25 kind of speaks for itself. Any number of things could happen, but I really like how LSU's young defense looked against Florida. With the offense they have being better than it's been in years, I think they can beat Bama and win the West. I like South Carolina to come out of the East, simply because Florida's offense is bad, Georgia is beat up, and Missouri is just a cute story. If LSU slips up in the championship game, Alabama will vulture their way into a game against Oregon for all the marbles, hopefully coming away with a loss of about 586-3.

 
Player Rankings:
( I have a system in ranking players that admittedly isn't perfect. It tends to crystalize better as the season goes on, when everyone has played an even amount of games. At the midseason mark, here's how it stands by position).

 

QB
1. Marcus Mariota, Soph. Oregon ( 100-165 1724 yards, 17 td's 0 Int. 41-426 8 td's rushing)
Mariota puts the video in the video game that is Oregon's offense. He has to be considered the Heisman frontrunner at this point.

2. Johnny Manziel Soph. Texas A&M ( 131-179 1835 14-5, 66-466 5TD's)                                                                           (google images)
I could write about Money Manziel (copyright Bomani Jones) all day long. Instead, just watch the game against Bama if you have any questions about the validity of Manziel's ability to play quarterback.

3.      Teddy Bridgewater, Jr. Louisville (125-176 1872 18-2)

4.      Jameis Winston Frosh. FSU (90-123 1441 17-2)

5.      Tajh Boyd Sr. Clemson (123-185 1783 15-2)

(Next 3: Aaron Murray, Zack Mettenberger, Devin Gardner)

RB
1. Mike Davis Soph. South Carolina (111-742 9 TD’s)
Davis has stepped in for Marcus Lattimore and arguably been more productive. The sophomore is averaging 6.7 yards a pop and has been the best running back in the country.

 2. Melvin Gordon Soph. Wisconsin (90-870 8 TD’s)
 Gordon has gone from someone who the Badgers used primarily on reverses and outside runs, to someone who has been the primary ball carrier, making Wiscy forget Montee Ball ever existed.

      3.      Todd Gurley Soph. Georgia (71-450 4 TD’s)

4.      Bishop Sankey Jr. Washington (159-899 9 TD’s)

5.      Jeremy Hill Sr. Ohio St.(98-715 9 TD’s)

(Next 3: Jordan Hall, Tyler Gaffney, Lache Seastrunk)

 

WR
1. Jarvis Landry Jr. LSU (46-674 7 TD’s)
It looks like the race for the number one wideout is going to be between teammates, as Landry and Beckham have gotten off to tremendous starts for the Tigers. Landry is slightly ahead only on number of catches and touchdowns. LSU is clearly a much different team on offense this season, and these two receivers are one of the main reasons why.

 2. Odell Beckham Jr. LSU (37-733 6 TD’s)
Beckham separates himself as maybe the biggest weapon LSU has simply because he can also be a gamechanger in the return game. He’s averaging 25 yards a kickoff return, and I can see him breaking off a long one in an important game just like the Honey Badger circa 2011.

 

3.      Mike Evans Soph. Texas A&M (32-737 5 TD's)

4.      Sammie Watkins Jr. Clemson (36-582 4 TD's)

5.      Josh Huff Sr. Oregon (27-552 5 TD's)

(Next 3: Jeremy Gallon, Tony Jones, Corey Brown)

 

(photo courtesy of google images)
DL:
1.Vic Beasley Jr. Clemson (20 Tackles, 9 Sacks, 12 TFL’s 2 Forced Fumbles, 5 PBU’s)
A defensive lineman from the state of South Carolina has been an absolute terror this season, but he wears orange and not red. Beasley has built off of a strong finish last year to simply become a dominant force as a pass rusher, which is a big reason why Clemson is number 3 in the country.
2.  Lorenzo Maudlin Jr. Louisville (17 Tackles, 6.5 Sacks, 8.5 TFL’s 3 Forced Fumbles)
The safeties got most of the preseason love for Louisville’s defense, but Maudlin, and to a lesser degree, Marcus Smith, have lived in the backfield for the undefeated Cardinals.

3.      Dean Lowry Jr. Northwestern (16 Tackles, 2 Sacks, 2 INT, 2 Forced Fumbles, 5 PBU’s)

4.      Tony Washington Jr. Oregon ( 29 Tackles, 4.5 Sacks, 6 TFL’s, 3 Forced Fumbles)

5.      Tyler Scott Sr. Northwestern ( 24 Tackles, 4 Sacks, 6 TFL’s, 2 Forced Fumbles)

(Next 3: Marcus Smith, Dante Fowler, Noah Spence)

LB:  1. Preston Brown Sr. Louisville (39 Tackles, 3 Sacks, 7.5 TFL’s, 1 Forced Fumble)

Brown was a 1st team all AAC LB in the preseason and the 22nd best inside linebacker in terms of draft stock according to soothsayer Phil Steele, and he has done nothing to change anyone’s mind playing on a defense that is sturdy on all three levels.

2. Colin Ellis Jr. Northwestern (40 Tackles, 2 INT, 6 PBU’s)
Ellis and some of the Northwestern boys will slide slightly as long as they are out of the top 25, as I use this as part of my basis for my rankings. That being said, he parlayed a strong first game with 2 picks against Cal into this spot. The Wildcats have created a lot of turnovers, and Ellis has been right in the middle of it.

 3. Anthony Barr Sr. UCLA (27 Tackles, 4 Sacks, 4 Forced Fumbles, 10 TFL’s)

4. Amarlo Herrera Jr. Georgia ( 55 Tackles, 5 PBU’s)

5. Ryan Shazier Jr. Ohio St. (47 Tackles, 2 Forced Fumbles, 8 TFL’s)

(Next 3: Stephone Anthony, Chi Chi Ariguzo, Caleb Lavey)

 

DB:
1. Doran Grant Jr. Ohio St. (28 Tackles, 2 INT, 1 Forced Fumble, 7 PBU’s)
Ryan Shazier gets a lot of the hype, but Grant has been very good as well. After getting some burn last year, he stepped in for Travis Howard and has paired with Bradley Roby to produce maybe the best corner tandem in the Big 10.

2. Vernon Hargreaves Frosh. Florida (16 Tackles, 3 INT, 8 PBU’s)
Hargreaves was a top 10-20 recruit depending on who’s rankings you looked at, and has more than lived up to the hype, with 3 interceptions and 8 PBU’s, both of which lead the team.

3. Blake Countess Jr. Michigan (24 Tackles, 4 INT, 6 PBU’s)

4. Ibraheim Campbell Jr. Northwestern (38 Tackles, 4 INT, 6 PBU’s)

5. Armani Reeves Soph. Ohio St. ( 12 Tackles, 1 INT, 6 PBU)

5. Julian Wilson Jr. Oklahoma (12 Tackles, 2 INT, 5 PBU)

(Next 3: Tramain Jacobs, Calvin Pryor, Bradley Roby)

 

 

Top 20 Offensive Players

1.      Marcus Mariota

2.      Johnny Manziel

3.      Teddy Bridgewater

4.      Mike Davis

5.      Jameis Winston

6.      Tajh Boyd

7.      Melvin Gordon

8.      Jarvis Landry

9.      Odell Beckham

10.  Mike Evans

11.  Aaron Murray

12.  Zach Mettenberger

13.  Devin Gardner

14.  Todd Gurley

15.  Bishop Sankey

16.  Jeremy Hill

17.  Bryce Petty

18.  Jordan Hall

19.  Lache Seastrunk

20.  Tyler Gaffney

 

Top 20 Defensive Players:

1.      Vic Beasley

2.      Lorenzo Maudlin

3.      Preston Brown

4.      Dean Lowry

5.      Tony Washington

6.      Colin Ellis

7.      Anthony Barr

8.      Amarlo Herrera

9.      Ryan Shazier

10.  Stephone Anthony

11.  Tyler Scott

12.  Chi Chi Ariguzo

13.  Caleb Lavey

14.  Doran Grant

15.  Vernon Hargreaves

16.  Marcus Smith

17.  Blake Countess

18.  Dante Fowler

19.  Brennan Beyer

20.  Trent Murphy